Expert Answer • 2 min read

What sample size do I need for timer tests?

I'm running A/B tests on countdown timers for my e-commerce store and I'm unsure about how many visitors I need to get statistically significant results. I want to understand the right sample size that will give me reliable data about conversion rate improvements, without wasting time or resources on unnecessarily long tests. How do I calculate the appropriate sample size for timer experiments, and what factors should I consider when designing my test?
Muhammed Tüfekyapan

Muhammed Tüfekyapan

Founder & CEO

2 min

TL;DR - Quick Answer

For timer tests, aim for a minimum of 1,000-2,000 unique visitors per variant with a statistical significance of 95%. Calculate required sample size using conversion rate, desired detectable effect, and statistical power.

Complete Expert Analysis

Sample Size Calculation for Timer Tests

Determining the right sample size is crucial for obtaining reliable A/B test results that can drive meaningful conversion improvements.

Key Factors in Sample Size Determination

FactorImpact on Sample Size
Current Conversion RateLower rates require larger samples
Desired Effect SizeSmaller expected improvements need more data
Statistical Significance95% confidence level increases sample requirements
Traffic VolumeDetermines test duration and feasibility

Sample Size Calculation Formula

1.

Base Formula

n = (Z²p(1-p)) / E²

Where:
n = Sample size per variant
Z = Z-score (1.96 for 95% confidence)
p = Expected conversion rate
E = Margin of error

2.

Practical Example

If current conversion rate is 2% and you want to detect a 0.5% improvement:

n = (1.96² * 0.02 * 0.98) / (0.005²) = 4,702 visitors per variant

Recommended Sample Size Guidelines

  • Minimum Threshold: 1,000-2,000 unique visitors per variant
  • Ideal Range: 5,000-10,000 unique visitors per variant for high confidence
  • Test Duration: Typically 1-4 weeks depending on traffic

Common Mistakes to Avoid

Statistical Errors

  • Stopping tests too early
  • Ignoring seasonal variations
  • Not accounting for traffic source differences

Sample Size Pitfalls

  • Using too small a sample
  • Not considering statistical power
  • Overlooking traffic quality

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Muhammed Tüfekyapan

Muhammed Tüfekyapan

Founder & CEO of Growth Suite

With over a decade of experience in e-commerce optimization, Muhammed founded Growth Suite to help Shopify merchants maximize their conversion rates through intelligent behavior tracking and personalized offers. His expertise in growth strategies and conversion optimization has helped thousands of online stores increase their revenue.

E-commerce Expert Shopify Partner Growth Strategist

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